Working Paper

    • Future Work 2.0: Life After the Great Recession

      Jan 31, 2012

      Describes the macroeconomic context in which Americans live and the type of labor market they will experience over the next five years. Discusses the greatest challenges Americans will face and how the United States is responding to the challenges.

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    • Impact of 9/11 and the London Bombings on the Employment and Earnings of U.K. Muslims

      Feb 02, 2010

      Estimates the impact that Britain’s July 2005 bombings had on the labor market outcomes of United Kingdom residents who are either Muslim by religious affiliation or whose nativity profiles are similar to the terrorists

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    • Steady as She Goes? Three Generations of Students through the Science and Engineering Pipeline


      Nov 09, 2009

      Explores data explaining the attrition rate of students studying science, technology, engineering, and math (STEM) and the changes in students as they persist through the STEM pathway in an effort to determine why there are more STEM students graduating than are hired in STEM-related jobs each year in the United States.

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    • Male White-Black Wage Gaps, 1979-1994: A Distributional Analysis


      Sep 07, 2005

      Examines whether the increased variance of wages in skill distribution during the 1980s explains the growth in within-group white-black wage gaps, develops a skill-specific decomposition that measures the variance’s contribution to the wage gap’s growth at various skill levels of the distribution, and shows that the wage distribution’s variance is an important contributor to the overall wage gap’s growth.

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    • Black Workers Need More than an Economic Boom


      Mar 22, 2005

      Explores the gains made by African Americans during the economic boom of the 1990s, explains why gains were less than hoped for and especially fragile in the period of economic decline that followed, and examines the public policies that would be necessary to sustain the gains that African Americans are likely to make during the next economic expansion.

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    • Forecasting the Labor Market Prospects of Low-Skilled Americans


      Mar 22, 2005

      Forecasts the post-recession labor market experiences of less-skilled men and women; estimates the impact that aggregate demand have on the employment-population ratios, employment rates, and labor force participation rates; uses empirical relationships and the Bush Administration’s 2004 and 2005 forecasts of the national unemployment rate to predict the employment-population ratios, employment rates, and labor force participation rates of Americans with the least skills; describes the econometric models in the paper; presents estimates of the relationship between aggregate demand and

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    • Pitfalls of Using a Child Support Schedule Based on Outdated Data


      Mar 22, 2005

      Evaluates an alternative child support guideline for one state, which proposes that total child support awards as a share of monthly income be raised at all income levels except for the lowest end of the income distribution, and draws lessons for states that similarly base their guidelines on older survey data that uses older estimates of child-rearing expenditures.

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    • Food Security and the Federal Minimum Wage


      Oct 29, 2004

      Examines the extent to which the minimum wage increases in 1996 and 1997 improved households’ food security and reduced hunger, particularly in low-income households where the heads of household were single parents or had no more than a high school diploma and describes how the raise also altered the hourly wage distribution in households where the heads of household are minority, single parents, and with no more than a high school diploma.

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    • Impact of Monetary Policy on the Distribution and Type of Unemployment

      Oct 29, 2004

      Estimates the effects of monetary policy, as measured by an increase in the federal funds rate, on a variety of measures of unemployment including duration of unemployment and changes in the composition of the unemployed.

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